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Will a major scientific journal publish a peer-reviewed article supporting the new timeline of complex life emergence by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Major scientific journals such as Nature, Science, or Cell
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Study Claims Complex Life on Earth Began 1.5 Billion Years Earlier Than Previously Thought
Jul 29, 2024, 02:44 AM
Recent research suggests that complex life on Earth may have originated approximately 1.5 billion years earlier than previously estimated. This finding challenges existing theories about the timeline of life's evolution on the planet. The study indicates that the emergence of complex multicellular organisms could have occurred significantly sooner than the scientific community had believed. This new timeline could reshape our understanding of biological development and the conditions that fostered the rise of intricate life forms on Earth.
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Science • 33%
Nature • 33%
Other Journal • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Earlier than 4.2 billion years • 25%
Exactly 4.2 billion years • 25%
Between 4.2 and 4.0 billion years • 25%
Later than 4.0 billion years • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Nature • 25%
Science • 25%
PLOS ONE • 25%
Journal of Vertebrate Paleontology • 25%
Science • 25%
Nature • 25%
Astrophysical Journal • 25%
Other • 25%
The New York Times • 25%
BBC • 25%
CNN • 25%
Other • 25%