Comparisons between final pre-election polls and actual election results published by major news outlets

Pollster Ann Selzer Retires After Harris+3 Iowa Poll Missed by 16 Points

Nov 17, 2024, 01:45 PM

Renowned Iowa pollster Ann Selzer has announced her retirement from election polling. Selzer, previously considered the 'gold standard' in polling, inaccurately predicted that Kamala Harris would win Iowa by 3 points in the 2024 presidential election. The actual result was a 13-point victory for Donald Trump, marking a significant 16-point error in her final poll. Selzer indicated that she had informed the Des Moines Register of her decision to retire over a year ago as she transitions to other ventures and opportunities. Reflecting on her final poll, she stated, 'Would I have liked to make this announcement after a final poll aligned with Election Day results? Of course. It's ironic that it's just the opposite.'