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Will a joint U.S.-China scientific project launch under the renewed agreement by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from U.S. or Chinese government agencies or scientific bodies
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U.S. and China Extend 45-Year Science and Technology Cooperation Agreement for Five Years Starting August 27, 2024, Signed December 13, 2024
Dec 13, 2024, 12:51 PM
The United States and China have agreed to extend their Science and Technology Cooperation Agreement for an additional five years, starting August 27, 2024. This decision was formalized on December 13, 2024, when representatives from both governments signed a protocol to amend and extend the existing agreement, which has been in place for 45 years. The renewed agreement includes significant revisions aimed at establishing 'guardrails' for researchers and data, thus providing a legal and political framework for American and Chinese researchers to secure funding and collaborate on joint projects. This extension is seen as a breakthrough in cooperation between the two nations amidst ongoing tensions.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Enhanced Scientific Collaboration • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Economic Benefits • 25%
Renewed with modifications • 25%
Renewed without changes • 25%
Not renewed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
NASA • 25%
Department of Energy • 25%
National Institutes of Health • 25%
National Science Foundation • 25%
Fentanyl Trafficking • 33%
Climate Change • 33%
Trade • 33%
NASA • 25%
NIH • 25%
NSF • 25%
Other • 25%
