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Market
Will a central bank declare Bitcoin holdings by mid-2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Central bank reports or credible financial news outlets
Story
Fidelity Predicts Nation-States Will Adopt Bitcoin by 2025 Amid Inflation, Driving Market Growth
Jan 8, 2025, 10:50 AM
Fidelity Digital Assets has forecasted that by 2025, more nations, central banks, sovereign wealth funds, and government treasuries will begin to incorporate Bitcoin into their strategic reserves. This prediction suggests a potential shift in the crypto market, driven by factors such as inflation, fiscal deficits, and currency debasement. Fidelity's research indicates that the adoption of Bitcoin by nation-states could lead to significant growth in the cryptocurrency sector this year. The firm, which manages approximately $4.9 trillion in assets, highlights that governments may become major investors in Bitcoin, marking a pivotal moment for regulatory acceptance and integration of blockchain technologies into financial systems.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No central banks • 25%
More than 5 central banks • 25%
3-5 central banks • 25%
1-2 central banks • 25%
European Central Bank • 25%
Other • 25%
Federal Reserve • 25%
People's Bank of China • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Restrictive • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Under consideration • 25%
Remain prohibited • 25%
Allowed with restrictions • 25%
Fully allowed • 25%
