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Market
Will 500 Black Widow 2 drones be produced by July 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from the drone manufacturer or Ukrainian Ministry of Defense
Story
Ukrainian Military Tests Black Widow 2 Kamikaze Drones for Naval Surveillance and Offensive Operations
Jan 7, 2025, 12:59 PM
The Ukrainian military is conducting trials of the Black Widow 2, a new river kamikaze drone designed for naval surveillance and offensive operations. The drone, which measures one meter in length and weighs 8 kilograms, can reach speeds of up to 40 km/h and has an operational range of 10 kilometers. It is equipped with a camera for both day and night operations and has a payload capacity of 3 kilograms, capable of destroying small boats and vessels. The development of the Black Widow 2 began in 2023 to counter Russian troop rotations on islands in the Dnipro River. The drone is currently undergoing military trials with two brigades of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and costs approximately $2,700 per unit, with the potential to manufacture up to 100 units per month.
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Less than 10,000 • 25%
More than 30,000 • 25%
20,001 to 30,000 • 25%
10,000 to 20,000 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Fluctuate significantly • 25%
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Remain the same • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Russian victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
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Ukrainian victory • 25%
Decoy drones • 25%
Other • 25%
Reconnaissance drones • 25%
Combat drones • 25%
