Loading...
Market
Who will win the state of Arizona in the 2024 Presidential Election?
5
Kamala Harris•Donald Trump•Harris•Black•Hispanic•Trump•Michigan•Arizona•Georgia•North Carolina•Nevada
Resolution / Starting Odds
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Other • 25%
Tie • 25%
Official election results published by the U.S. Federal Election Commission (FEC)
Story
Kamala Harris Erases Trump's Lead in Swing States, 48%-47% Poll Shows
Jul 30, 2024, 08:46 PM
Vice President Kamala Harris has erased former President Donald Trump's lead across seven battleground states, according to the latest Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll. The poll shows Harris gaining significant support among young, Black, Hispanic, and suburban women voters. Harris is backed by 48% of voters compared to Trump's 47%, indicating a statistical dead heat. In Michigan, Harris leads with 53% to Trump's 42%, while in Arizona, Harris leads 49% to 47%. Other states show closer margins, with Harris and Trump tied at 47% in Georgia. Trump leads in North Carolina with 48% to Harris's 46%. In Nevada, Harris leads 47% to 45%. The poll highlights a shift in voter enthusiasm and the competitive nature of the upcoming election.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 34%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other candidate • 25%
No clear winner by Nov 6 • 25%
Donald Trump • 50%
Joe Biden • 50%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other Candidate • 25%
No Winner Declared by Dec 31, 2024 • 25%
No winner declared • 25%
Other • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Republican Candidate Wins • 25%
Democratic Candidate Wins • 25%
Third-Party Candidate Wins • 25%
Other • 25%
Ruben Gallego • 25%
Kari Lake • 25%
Another Democratic candidate • 25%
Another Republican candidate • 25%
Kari Lake • 25%
Democratic Nominee • 25%
Independent Candidate • 25%
Other • 25%
Democratic candidate wins • 25%
Republican candidate wins • 25%
Independent candidate wins • 25%
Other • 25%
Kari Lake • 25%
Democratic Candidate • 25%
Independent Candidate • 25%
Other • 25%