Loading...
Market
Who will win the Iowa Democratic Primary in 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Joe Biden • 33%
Kamala Harris • 33%
Pete Buttigieg • 34%
Official primary results from the Iowa Democratic Party
Story
Trump Leads Biden by 18 Points in Iowa, 50-32, Selzer Poll Shows
Jun 17, 2024, 06:06 PM
Former President Donald Trump holds a significant lead over President Joe Biden in Iowa, according to a new poll by Ann Selzer, a highly respected pollster. The poll shows Trump leading by 18 points, a substantial increase from his 8-point victory in 2020. This shift is notable given that Iowa was previously won by former President Barack Obama by 15 points in 2008 and 5 points in 2012. The poll also indicates that Biden's approval rating in Iowa is at a low 28%. The results suggest that if Trump maintains this lead, he could also be in a strong position in other key states like Wisconsin and Minnesota. The Selzer poll is considered a gold standard in Iowa, making these findings particularly significant for the upcoming 2024 election. The poll results show Trump leading 50-32, marking it as the worst poll for Biden.
View original story
Similar markets
Kamala Harris • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Other • 25%
No clear winner • 25%
Other Candidate • 25%
No Winner Declared • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Mike Pence • 25%
Joe Biden • 33%
Other • 34%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Democratic Candidate • 25%
Republican Candidate • 25%
Third Party Candidate • 25%
Other • 25%
Kamala Harris • 33%
Donald Trump • 33%
Other • 34%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other • 25%
No clear winner • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Mike Pence • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 50%
Bernie Sanders • 25%
Elizabeth Warren • 25%
Other • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Other • 25%