Official Electoral College results published by the United States Federal Election Commission

NYT Projects Trump Likely to Win 2024 Election with 87%-91% Chance and 301 Electoral Votes

Nov 6, 2024, 04:17 AM

The New York Times is reporting that Donald Trump has a high likelihood of winning the 2024 US Presidential Election, with estimates ranging from 87% to 91% chance of victory. Trump is projected to win key swing states and the popular vote by 1.1 points. The NYT also estimates Trump winning an estimated 301 Electoral Votes. In battleground states, Trump is leading by over 2 points, with specific leads in states such as Wisconsin (+2.1), Pennsylvania (+2.2), Michigan (+2.5), Georgia (+2.7), Nevada (+3.2), North Carolina (+3.3), and Arizona (+4.6). The NYT's projections indicate a strong performance for Trump across the board. These estimates were reported at specific times: 11:00PM, 11:15PM, and 11:20PM.