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Who will be the main beneficiary of the changing dynamics in Syria by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Israel • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis from international relations experts and reports from credible news agencies
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Putin: Russia Evacuates 4,000 Iranian Fighters from Khmeimim Base to Tehran, Claims No Defeat in Syria
Dec 19, 2024, 12:11 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that Russia has evacuated 4,000 Iranian fighters from Syria to Tehran, asserting that the country has not been defeated in the region. During a press conference, Putin emphasized that Russia achieved its strategic goals in Syria, particularly in preventing the emergence of a terrorist enclave. He stated that the evacuation was conducted at the request of Iran, following the withdrawal of pro-Iranian units and government troops without resistance. Putin also remarked on the changing dynamics in Syria, identifying Israel as the main beneficiary of the current situation, and expressed hope that Israel would eventually withdraw its forces from Syrian territory.
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Increased Western influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased Russian influence • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
Iran • 25%
Russia • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian National Army • 25%
Local Civilian Populations • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Balanced influence among the three • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
Increased Russian influence • 25%
Increased Turkish influence • 25%
Opposition forces in Syria • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Syrian Rebels • 25%
Other • 25%
Independent Syrian Government • 25%
Russian-backed Forces • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
U.S. • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran • 25%
Russia • 25%
Turkey • 25%
A UN Transitional Authority • 25%
A New Inclusive Government • 25%
Bashar al-Assad's Government • 25%
Other • 25%
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham • 25%
International forces • 25%
Government-aligned forces • 25%
Opposition groups • 25%
SDF • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian opposition • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%