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VisitWho will be the leader of the Liberal Party by end of 2024?
Mark Carney • 25%
Justin Trudeau • 33%
Chrystia Freeland • 33%
Other • 34%
Official announcement from the Liberal Party or major news outlets
Conservatives Win Toronto-St. Paul's Byelection by 8.5 Points, Dealing Blow to Trudeau
Jun 25, 2024, 08:36 AM
In a significant political shift, the Conservative Party has won the Toronto-St. Paul's byelection, a seat held by the Liberal Party for over 30 years. The victory is seen as a substantial blow to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and his party, which has faced mounting criticism and declining approval ratings. Conservative candidate Don Stewart emerged victorious, defeating Liberal candidate Leslie Church by a margin of 8.5 points. The Conservative Party garnered a record 37% of the vote in downtown Toronto. The byelection, held on June 24, 2024, was widely viewed as a referendum on Trudeau's leadership. The loss has intensified calls for Trudeau to resign, though Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland has stated that he will remain in his position. The election saw a high turnout of 44%, indicating a strong desire among voters for change. The delayed results were attributed to the unusually long ballot, which included 84 candidates. This upset in a traditionally safe Liberal seat suggests potential vulnerabilities for the party in future elections. Freeland's comments describing Conservative voters as "cold, cruel, and small" also drew significant attention during the campaign.
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Justin Trudeau • 25%
Chrystia Freeland • 25%
Mark Carney • 25%
Other • 25%
Justin Trudeau • 25%
Chrystia Freeland • 25%
Mark Carney • 25%
Other • 25%
Chrystia Freeland • 25%
Mark Carney • 25%
Melanie Joly • 25%
Other • 25%
Leadership Change • 50%
No Leadership Change • 50%
Chrystia Freeland • 25%
Mark Carney • 25%
Mary Ng • 25%
Other • 25%
Chrystia Freeland • 25%
Mark Carney • 25%
Anita Anand • 25%
Other • 25%
Chrystia Freeland • 25%
Dominic LeBlanc • 25%
Mark Carney • 25%
Other • 25%
Chrystia Freeland • 25%
Dominic Leblanc • 25%
Chandra Arya • 25%
Other • 25%
Chrystia Freeland • 25%
Dominic Leblanc • 25%
Melanie Joly • 25%
Other • 25%
Justin Trudeau • 25%
Chrystia Freeland • 25%
Mark Carney • 25%
Other • 25%
Keir Starmer • 25%
Angela Rayner • 25%
Lisa Nandy • 25%
Other • 25%
Trudeau retains leadership • 25%
Trudeau steps down voluntarily • 25%
Trudeau is ousted • 25%
No leadership challenge occurs • 25%
Conservative Party • 33%
Liberal Party • 33%
Other • 34%
Other • 34%
Don Stewart • 33%
Pierre Poilievre • 33%