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Who will be the key influencer on federal death penalty policy by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Donald Trump • 25%
Congress • 25%
Supreme Court • 25%
Public opinion • 25%
Analysis of policy changes and public statements from government officials
Story
Biden Commutes 37 Death Sentences, Says 'We Must Stop' Federal Executions
Dec 23, 2024, 12:37 PM
President Joe Biden has commuted the sentences of 37 of the 40 federal death row inmates, converting their punishments to life imprisonment without the possibility of parole. Biden stated, 'We must stop the use of the death penalty at the federal level.' The decision comes just weeks before President-elect Donald Trump takes office, an outspoken proponent of capital punishment who has pledged to resume federal executions halted under the Biden administration. The three inmates who remain on death row are Dzhokhar Tsarnaev, Robert Bowers, and Dylann Roof.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
California • 25%
New York • 25%
Texas • 25%
Other • 25%
ACLU • 25%
NAACP • 25%
Families Against Mandatory Minimums • 25%
Other • 25%
0 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
Democratic Party • 50%
Republican Party • 25%
Independent/Third Parties • 15%
No significant opposition • 10%
All commuted • 25%
Some commuted • 25%
None commuted • 25%
No decision • 25%
Commute all sentences • 25%
Commute some sentences • 25%
Commute no sentences • 25%
Announces a review process • 25%
Murder • 25%
Rape • 25%
Child molestation • 25%
Other • 25%
Commute all • 33%
Commute some • 33%
Commute none • 34%
Donald Trump • 25%
Mitch McConnell • 25%
Kevin McCarthy • 25%
Other • 25%