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Market
Who will be internationally recognized as the winner of the Venezuelan presidential election on July 28, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Nicolás Maduro • 25%
Edmundo González • 25%
Other opposition candidate • 25%
No recognition • 25%
Official statements from major international organizations such as the UN, EU, and OAS
Story
Venezuela's July 28 Election: Maduro Seeks Third Term Amid Rising Opposition Support, Polls Show 46-Point Lead
Jul 25, 2024, 09:16 AM
Venezuela is set to hold its presidential election on July 28, 2024, with President Nicolás Maduro seeking a third term amid significant political tension. The opposition, led by Edmundo González, has gained substantial support, posing a serious threat to Maduro's hold on power. Polls indicate a potential landslide victory for González, with some showing him leading by as much as 46 percentage points. Concerns about electoral integrity and possible violence have been raised, with the U.S. and other international actors urging for a fair and peaceful election. Maduro has warned of a 'bloodbath' if he loses, while the Venezuelan military has assured it will respect the election results. The election has significant implications for Venezuela and the broader Latin American region, as it could lead to a democratic transition or continued authoritarian rule.
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