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Who will be identified as the mastermind behind the Lido Beach attack by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Known Al-Shabaab leader • 25%
Mid-level Al-Shabaab operative • 25%
Foreign terrorist • 25%
Unknown or unidentified • 25%
Official statements from Somali authorities, verified news reports from reputable sources such as Reuters, BBC, and Al Jazeera
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Al-Shabaab Attack in Mogadishu's Lido Beach Results in Over 50 Fatalities
Aug 2, 2024, 08:46 PM
A suspected Al-Shabaab attack has occurred at Mogadishu's Lido Beach, resulting in explosions and heavy gunfire. The attack began with a suicide bomber detonating on the beach, followed by armed militants storming a nearby hotel. Video footage shows at least 18 bodies on the beach, and early estimates indicate over 50 fatalities. According to a police spokesman, there have been at least eight fatalities, but the number is likely to rise. The Al-Shabaab militant group has claimed responsibility for the attack through their official radio. The assault targeted both civilians enjoying the beach and government forces stationed nearby. The situation remains ongoing, with reports of multiple fatalities and catastrophic scenes.
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Unknown/Unidentified • 25%
Other • 25%
Political Rival • 25%
Gang-related • 25%
Personal Vendetta • 25%
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Lone individual • 25%
Organized group • 25%
Foreign entity • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Domestic individual • 25%
Domestic group • 25%
Foreign individual • 25%
Foreign group • 25%
Local resident • 25%
Non-local resident • 25%
Gang-related individual • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Lone individual • 25%
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Unknown • 25%
Another suspect among the 11 • 25%
Someone outside the 11 suspects • 25%
No mastermind identified • 25%
Other • 25%