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Which U.S. authority will take action if the alleged $10M Egyptian payment is confirmed by Dec 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Department of Justice • 25%
FBI • 25%
Congress • 25%
Other • 25%
Official government announcements or major news outlets
Story
Secret Probe Launched into Alleged $10M Egyptian Payment to Trump's 2016 Campaign, Closed by Bill Barr
Aug 2, 2024, 12:41 PM
A secret investigation was launched in 2017 based on classified U.S. intelligence indicating that Egypt's president, Abdel Fatah El-Sisi, sought to illegally inject $10 million into Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign. The Justice Department investigators discovered a mysterious $10 million cash withdrawal by Egyptian officials five days before Trump took office. This led to a probe into whether the money was used to fund Trump's campaign. Investigators corroborated the tip with Egyptian bank records but were blocked from accessing key U.S. records by top prosecutors. The investigation, which involved FBI officials, was ultimately closed by then-Attorney General Bill Barr, as reported by The Washington Post.
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New Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Actions • 25%
Both • 25%
No Action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Donald Trump • 25%
Egyptian officials • 25%
Campaign officials • 25%
Other • 25%
FEC • 25%
Federal Court • 25%
Supreme Court • 25%
Other • 25%
No further action • 25%
New evidence found • 25%
Criminal charges filed • 25%
Other • 25%
Launches internal investigation • 25%
Publicly apologizes • 25%
Recovers the funds • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
FBI • 25%
DOJ • 25%
CIA • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased export controls • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
No additional actions • 25%