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Which Specific Count Will Trump Be Tried On?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Interference with State Officials • 25%
Interference with Private Parties • 25%
Interference with General Public • 25%
Other • 25%
Court records, news reports
Story
Court Allows Trump Prosecution to Proceed, Requires Broomstick, Grants Immunity for Official Acts
Jul 1, 2024, 02:40 PM
The court in Trump v. U.S. has ruled that the prosecution against former President Donald Trump can proceed, but only after special counsel Jack Smith produces the broomstick of the Wicked Witch of the West for detailed analysis. The indictment includes allegations of Trump's interactions with state officials, private parties, and the general public, which have been remanded to the District Court for further inspection. The court also noted that Trump's attempts to pressure the Vice President during the certification proceeding are considered official conduct, granting him presumptive immunity from prosecution for those actions. This decision implies that Trump is unlikely to be tried before the 2024 election, and if he loses, it remains unclear on which counts he would be tried.
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Similar markets
Conspiracy to defraud the United States • 25%
Obstruction of an official proceeding • 25%
Conspiracy to obstruct an official proceeding • 25%
Conspiracy against rights • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0 additional charges • 25%
1-2 additional charges • 25%
3-5 additional charges • 25%
More than 5 additional charges • 25%
0 • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-5 • 25%
More than 5 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
New trial ordered • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Guilty on all charges • 25%
Guilty on some charges • 25%
Not guilty on all charges • 25%
Mistrial or hung jury • 25%
Trump acquitted • 25%
Trump convicted • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
