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Which route is identified as the major smuggling route for Nvidia AI chips by Dec 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Through Hong Kong • 25%
Through Taiwan • 25%
Through South Korea • 25%
Through Southeast Asia • 25%
Reports from investigative journalism or government disclosures
Story
Underground Network Smuggles Nvidia AI Chips Into China Despite US Sanctions
Jul 3, 2024, 10:18 AM
A network of buyers, sellers, and couriers is bypassing the Biden administration’s restrictions aimed at denying China access to Nvidia’s advanced AI chips. This underground network exploits supply-chain blind spots to smuggle Nvidia's AI GPUs into China, sometimes using informal markets and even students' luggage. Despite US sanctions, these GPUs are reaching Chinese buyers, with some smugglers selling entire servers. The Wall Street Journal, in an article by Raffaele Huang, has reported on this issue, highlighting the challenges in enforcing export controls on such small and easily transportable devices.
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Hong Kong • 25%
Vietnam • 25%
Taiwan • 25%
Other • 25%
Company A • 25%
Company B • 25%
Company C • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Department of Commerce • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Arizona, USA • 25%
Taiwan • 25%
Other Asian countries • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Vietnam • 25%
UAE • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Other • 25%
NVIDIA • 25%
AMD • 25%
Intel • 25%
Other • 25%