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Which regulatory body will be the next to challenge Illumina's acquisitions by September 3, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
European Commission • 25%
U.S. Federal Trade Commission • 25%
China's State Administration for Market Regulation • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from regulatory bodies or Illumina
Story
European Court Rules in Favor of Illumina in $7.1 Billion Grail Acquisition, Eliminates €432 Million Fine
Sep 3, 2024, 09:00 AM
The European Court of Justice has ruled in favor of U.S. gene sequencing company Illumina, supporting its appeal against the European Union's investigation into its $7.1 billion acquisition of cancer diagnostic test maker Grail. The court's decision marks a significant blow to the EU's antitrust regulatory powers, asserting that the European Commission did not have the right to intervene in the deal, which had no presence or revenue in the EU. This ruling eliminates a €432 million fine previously imposed on Illumina related to the acquisition. Despite the legal victory, Illumina had already divested Grail, and the decision will not affect their current relationship. The ruling also highlights the abandoned nature of Illumina's bid and the oversight issues in the merger process.
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EU appeals ruling • 25%
Illumina submits new bid • 25%
No further action • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
European Medicines Agency (EMA) • 25%
Health Canada • 25%
Japan's PMDA • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No major hurdles • 25%
Minor delays • 25%
Significant delays • 25%
Acquisition blocked • 25%
SEC • 25%
CFTC • 25%
FTC • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. Justice Department • 25%
European Commission • 25%
U.K. Competition and Markets Authority • 25%
Other • 25%
TPG • 25%
Blackstone • 25%
Bausch + Lomb • 25%
None • 25%
FTC • 25%
European Commission • 25%
Other • 25%
None • 25%
FDA • 25%
EMA • 25%
MHRA • 25%
Other • 25%
FDA (US) • 25%
EMA (Europe) • 25%
NMPA (China) • 25%
Other • 25%
