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Which region will experience increased tensions due to the Israeli airstrike by December 31, 2024?
2
Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Beirut•Lebanon•Ibrahim Aqil•Hezbollah•Radwan Force•Aqil•Tahsin•United States
Resolution / Starting Odds
Lebanon • 25%
Israel • 25%
Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Verified news reports from major international news agencies (e.g., Reuters, BBC, Al Jazeera)
Story
IDF Conducts Targeted Airstrike in Beirut, Killing Senior Hezbollah Commander Ibrahim Aqil
Sep 20, 2024, 01:27 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) conducted a targeted airstrike in Beirut, Lebanon, on September 20, 2024. The strike targeted Ibrahim Aqil, a senior Hezbollah commander and head of the elite Radwan Force. Aqil, also known as Tahsin, was involved in the 1983 bombings of the U.S. Embassy and Marine Barracks in Beirut and was wanted by the United States. Reports confirm that Aqil was killed in the airstrike. The attack took place in the southern suburbs of Beirut, an area known for Hezbollah's strong presence. Explosions were heard, and several laser-guided missiles were used, resulting in the destruction of a building.
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Iranian mainland • 25%
Iranian proxy locations • 25%
Gaza or Lebanon • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Full-scale military conflict • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Gaza Strip • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Syria • 25%
West Bank • 25%
Strengthened Alliance between Israel and Saudi Arabia • 25%
Strengthened Alliance between Hamas and Iran • 25%
Strengthened Alliance between Lebanon and Hezbollah • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Iran • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Gaza Strip • 25%
West Bank • 25%
Northern Israel • 25%
Other region • 25%
Iran condemns and threatens action • 25%
Syria increases support for Hezbollah • 25%
Saudi Arabia calls for peace • 25%
Other • 25%
Saudi Arabia supports Israel • 25%
Saudi Arabia condemns Israel • 25%
Turkey supports Israel • 25%
Turkey condemns Israel • 25%
Kursk • 25%
Donetsk • 25%
Luhansk • 25%
Kharkiv • 25%
Gaza • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Syria • 25%
Other • 25%