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Market
Which party will gain the most Senate seats in 2026 midterms?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Republicans • 33%
Democrats • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Official election results from the U.S. Senate and major news outlets
Story
Trump Wins 2024 Election, First Republican in Two Decades to Gain Young Men and Latino Voter Support
Dec 1, 2024, 12:03 PM
In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, Donald Trump achieved a historic victory by becoming the first Republican to win the popular vote in two decades. His success was bolstered by significant support from ethnic minority groups, particularly among Latino voters and young men. Reports indicate that young men shifted their political alignment to the right, influenced by a campaign that emphasized masculine appeals. This demographic change, along with Trump's increased backing from Latino voters, is reshaping the congressional battleground map, as more than a million Latinos reach voting age each year. Analysts suggest that Latino voters are becoming pivotal players in elections, reflecting Trump's growing appeal among this fast-growing electorate.
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Republican • 25%
Democrat • 25%
Split • 25%
Other • 25%
Republican Party • 33%
Democratic Party • 33%
Other/Independent • 34%
Republican • 25%
Democrat • 25%
Independent • 25%
Other • 25%
Republican • 33%
Democratic • 33%
Independent/Other • 34%
Democrats • 33%
Republicans • 33%
Other • 33%
Democratic Party • 33%
Republican Party • 33%
Other/Independent • 34%
Republican • 33%
Democrat • 33%
Other • 34%
Republican • 25%
Democratic • 25%
Independent • 25%
Other • 25%
6-8 Seats • 25%
More than 8 Seats • 25%
0-2 Seats • 25%
3-5 Seats • 25%
Democrats • 33%
Republicans • 33%
No clear majority • 34%
Republican • 25%
Democrat • 25%
Independent • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Democratic • 25%
Republican • 25%
Split • 25%
Other • 25%
