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Which NATO member will Russia target first if conflict occurs by 2030?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Poland • 25%
Estonia • 25%
Latvia • 25%
Lithuania • 25%
Official announcements from NATO or the involved countries, major news outlets
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German Intelligence Chief Warns of Potential NATO-Russia Conflict by 2030
Oct 14, 2024, 11:17 AM
The head of Germany's Federal Intelligence Service (BND) has issued a stark warning about the potential for a direct military confrontation between NATO and Russia by 2030. According to the BND chief, Russian President Vladimir Putin is determined to test the West's red lines and is preparing for a military engagement with NATO. This scenario is seen as extremely dangerous, with the potential for Russia to attack military facilities on the territory of NATO member states. The intelligence chief highlighted that Putin's ambitions extend beyond Ukraine and are aimed at creating a new world order.
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Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No official response • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Iran • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Poland • 25%
Germany • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%