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Market
Which major tech company will acquire an AI developer by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Microsoft acquires OpenAI • 25%
Amazon acquires Anthropic • 25%
Google acquires Anthropic • 25%
None of these acquisitions occur • 25%
Official press releases or financial disclosure statements from the companies involved
Story
FTC Flags Antitrust Risks in Microsoft-OpenAI Deal, Cites Cloud Computing Concerns
Jan 17, 2025, 08:16 PM
The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has raised antitrust concerns over Microsoft Corp.'s $13 billion investment in OpenAI, according to a report released on Friday. The FTC highlighted that this partnership, along with similar deals between Amazon.com Inc. and Google with AI company Anthropic, could allow tech giants to extend their dominance in cloud computing into the emerging AI market. The report suggests that such partnerships may lead to the full acquisition of AI developers by these tech giants in the future, potentially undermining fair competition. FTC Chair Lina Khan emphasized that these partnerships could create lock-in effects, deprive startups of essential AI inputs, and expose sensitive information that could disadvantage other competitors.
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