Loading...
Market
Which international party will play a key role in resolving the Israel-Hamas conflict by December 31, 2025?
2
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Mossad•Israeli Security Agency•Shin Bet•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Doha•Qatar•Hamas•Gaza•Egypt•United States•Israel•Gaza war•Palestinian Islamic Jihad•Netanyahu•Islamic Jihad
Resolution / Starting Odds
US leads successful resolution • 25%
Egypt plays a key role in resolution • 25%
No significant international intervention • 25%
Other international body leads resolution • 25%
Statements from the UN, US State Department, or other involved international bodies
Story
Netanyahu Sends Delegation to Qatar Amid Gaza Hostage Crisis and Islamic Jihad's Suicide Claim
Jan 2, 2025, 06:33 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has authorized a delegation, including officials from Mossad, the Israeli Security Agency (Shin Bet), and the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF), to travel to Doha, Qatar, to resume negotiations on a hostage deal and ceasefire with Hamas in Gaza. This move comes amid ongoing efforts to secure the release of approximately 100 Israeli hostages still held by Hamas. The negotiations have been mediated by Qatar, Egypt, and the United States, but have faced challenges due to new conditions set by Israel, including the continuation of the Gaza war and the non-withdrawal of Israeli forces. Meanwhile, the Palestinian Islamic Jihad reported that an Israeli hostage attempted suicide three days ago due to his deteriorating psychological state, which they attribute to new conditions set by Netanyahu's government that have delayed his release. A medical team from Islamic Jihad intervened to prevent the suicide.
View original story
Similar markets
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Egypt • 25%
United States • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Other • 25%
Qatar • 25%
United States • 25%
United Nations • 25%
None • 25%
Arab League • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Egypt leads to successful agreement • 25%
US leads to successful agreement • 25%
Qatar leads to successful agreement • 25%
No successful mediation • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
Egypt • 25%
United Nations • 25%
No role • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Minor role • 25%
Significant role • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Egypt • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Nations • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other or none • 25%
United States • 25%