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Market
Which grocery retailer will gain the most market share post-merger by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Kroger-Albertsons Gains Market Share • 25%
Walmart Gains Market Share • 25%
Amazon Gains Market Share • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Market share reports, major news outlets
Story
FTC Intensifies Challenge Against Largest-Ever Proposed $25 Billion Kroger-Albertsons Merger
Sep 4, 2024, 02:05 PM
Antitrust enforcers are intensifying their efforts against Kroger's planned $25 billion acquisition of Albertsons, the largest-ever proposed grocery merger. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has challenged the merger, excluding Amazon and Costco as competing supermarkets, which has led to accusations of gerrymandering the market definition. The CEOs of Kroger and Albertsons are currently in court defending the merger, arguing that it would result in lower prices for consumers and better competition against retail giants like Walmart and Amazon. Kroger's CEO, Rodney McMullen, attributed rising grocery prices to increasing costs for retailers while defending the merger. Industry experts have noted that C&S, which would operate divested stores, faces significant challenges in maintaining competitiveness. The trial is reportedly not going well for the supermarket giants.
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Similar markets
Less than 20% • 25%
20% to 25% • 25%
25% to 30% • 25%
More than 30% • 25%
Merger proceeds after appeal • 25%
Merger is permanently blocked • 25%
Kroger withdraws merger bid • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn by companies • 25%
Merger approved after appeal • 25%
Merger abandoned • 25%
Merger restructured and approved • 25%
Merger remains blocked • 25%
Walmart • 25%
Kroger • 25%
Albertsons • 25%
Other • 25%
Market share increases • 25%
Market share decreases • 25%
Market share remains stable • 25%
Data unavailable • 25%
Merger completed • 25%
Merger blocked • 25%
Merger abandoned • 25%
Merger revised and completed • 25%
Both increase • 25%
Both decrease • 25%
Kroger increases, Albertsons decreases • 25%
Kroger decreases, Albertsons increases • 25%
Albertsons gains market share • 25%
Kroger gains market share • 25%
Both gain market share • 25%
Neither gain market share • 25%
Merger Approved • 25%
Merger Blocked • 25%
Partial Approval with Conditions • 25%
Settlement Reached • 25%
Announce new mergers • 25%
Increase market share • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other strategic moves • 25%