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Which entities will be credited with successfully mediating the ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Qatar • 25%
United States • 25%
Both Qatar and United States • 25%
Other entities • 25%
Statements from involved parties and news reports
Story
Qatar Presents Final Gaza Ceasefire and Hostage Deal to Israel and Hamas Following Breakthrough Talks
Jan 13, 2025, 09:33 AM
Mediator Qatar has presented Israel and Hamas with a final draft of a ceasefire and hostage release agreement aimed at ending the war in Gaza. The breakthrough was achieved in Doha after midnight, following talks involving Israel's Mossad Chief, US President-elect Donald Trump's Middle East envoy, and Qatar's Prime Minister. The draft agreement has been sent to both Israel and Hamas for approval.
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Similar markets
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Israel • 25%
United States • 25%
Hamas • 25%
No mediation • 25%
Other countries involved • 25%
United States involvement • 25%
Egypt and Qatar only • 25%
No additional international involvement • 25%
US involvement • 25%
UN involvement • 25%
EU involvement • 25%
Joint mediation • 25%
Egyptian representatives • 25%
Qatari representatives • 25%
American representatives • 25%
Egypt • 25%
United States • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant Role • 25%
Critical Role • 25%
No Role • 25%
Minor Role • 25%
Other • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Egypt • 25%
United States • 25%
Failed implementation • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Successful implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Extended negotiations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%