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Which demographic will show largest voting preference shift by 2026?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
White voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Voters with high school education • 25%
Voters with some college education • 25%
APVoteCast or similar post-election surveys
Story
Trump Wins Significant Support from White and Less Educated Voters as of Nov. 5
Nov 24, 2024, 08:14 PM
According to APVoteCast as of Nov. 5, President-elect Donald Trump received significant support from white voters, with 84% of them voting for him compared to 66% for Kamala Harris. Voters lacking education beyond high school favored Trump by almost 20 points more than Harris, while those with some education beyond high school voted for Harris at significantly higher numbers, around 80%. A large majority of Black men, 75%, voted for Harris, and overall, Blacks made up only 3% of those who voted for Trump.
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White voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
Young Voters • 25%
Hispanic Voters • 25%
Suburban Women • 25%
Rural Voters • 25%
Latinos • 25%
African Americans • 25%
Asian Americans • 25%
Other • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Asian voters • 25%
Young voters (18-29) • 25%
Urban Voters • 25%
Suburban Voters • 25%
Rural Voters • 25%
Young Voters (18-29) • 25%
Young voters (18-29) • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
African American voters • 25%
Suburban women • 25%
Muslim Voters • 25%
High-Income Voters • 25%
College-Educated Voters • 25%
Working-Class Voters • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
African American voters • 25%
Young voters (18-29) • 25%
Other • 25%
18-24 • 25%
25-30 • 25%
31-40 • 25%
41-50 • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
Youth voters (18-29) • 25%
Working-class voters • 25%
Other minority groups • 25%
White voters without a college degree • 25%
White voters with a college degree • 25%
Black voters • 25%
Hispanic voters • 25%
Women voters • 25%
Men voters • 25%
Young voters (18-29) • 25%
Older voters (60+) • 25%