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Market
Which COVID-19 vaccine targeting the KP.2 variant will be perceived to have the fewest side effects by the public by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Pfizer-BioNTech • 25%
Moderna • 25%
Novavax • 25%
Other • 25%
Public perception can be verified through surveys and health reports
Story
Health Canada Approves Moderna's Updated COVID-19 Vaccine Targeting KP.2 Variant for Ages Six Months and Older
Sep 17, 2024, 03:06 PM
Health Canada has approved Moderna's updated COVID-19 vaccine targeting the KP.2 variant of SARS-CoV-2 for ages six months and older. This approval follows the FDA's authorization of three updated vaccines, including Pfizer-BioNTech, Moderna, and Novavax, which received FDA authorization in August. The Moderna vaccine, known as Spikevax, is expected to be available soon at major retailers such as RiteAid, Costco, CVS, Walgreens, and Walmart. Studies indicate that Novavax, a protein-based vaccine, has fewer side effects compared to mRNA vaccines like Moderna. Novavax reduces viral load by 600x, while Moderna reduces it by 100x.
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Very Effective (>90%) • 25%
Effective (70-90%) • 25%
Moderately Effective (50-70%) • 25%
Ineffective (<50%) • 25%
Pfizer • 25%
Moderna • 25%
Johnson & Johnson • 25%
AstraZeneca • 25%
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Moderna • 25%
Pfizer • 25%
Other • 25%
Very positive • 25%
Somewhat positive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Negative • 25%
High (>70%) • 25%
Moderate (50-70%) • 25%
Low (30-50%) • 25%
Very Low (<30%) • 25%
Increased trust • 25%
Decreased trust • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Very Positive • 25%
Somewhat Positive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Negative • 25%
Pfizer exceeds expectations • 25%
Moderna exceeds expectations • 25%
Both exceed expectations • 25%
Neither exceed expectations • 25%