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Which country will officially respond first to the Taiwan Strait incident by Aug 31?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Japan • 25%
South Korea • 25%
Australia • 25%
Philippines • 25%
Official statements from respective governments or international news reports
Story
Taiwan Monitors Chinese Nuclear Submarine Surfacing in Sensitive Taiwan Strait Near Penghu Islands
Jun 18, 2024, 04:30 AM
Taiwan is maintaining vigilance after a Chinese nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine surfaced in the sensitive Taiwan Strait near the Penghu Islands. Taiwan's Defense Minister Wellington Koo stated on Tuesday that the defense ministry has a 'grasp' of the situation. The incident occurred around 5 a.m. when Taiwanese fishermen encountered the submarine and took several pictures, which later appeared online. The submarine was identified as a Type 094 nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine belonging to the Chinese People's Liberation Army Navy. The Taiwanese defense ministry continues to monitor the situation closely.
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UN sanctions • 25%
US military support to Taiwan • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
ASEAN mediation efforts • 25%
Condemnation of China's actions • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Japan • 25%
Australia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Taiwan • 25%
None by end of 2024 • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Sanctions by Western countries • 25%
Diplomatic mediation efforts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military deterrence • 25%
No significant response • 25%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation by major international bodies • 25%
Sanctions imposed on China • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Increased military presence by U.S. allies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation from UN • 25%
Joint military drills with Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
European Union • 25%