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Which country will conduct the next ballistic missile test after North Korea's January 2025 test?

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North Korea•South Korea•Yonhap News Agency•Japan•Ministry of Defense•Japanese Coast Guard

Resolution / Starting Odds

United States • 25%

Russia • 25%

China • 25%

Other • 25%

Reports from credible international news agencies and official government announcements

Story

North Korea Conducts First Ballistic Missile Test of 2025, Confirmed by Japan and South Korea

Jan 6, 2025, 03:08 AM

North Korea has launched a ballistic missile, marking the first test of this year, as reported by multiple sources including South Korea's Yonhap News Agency and Japan's Ministry of Defense. The launch was detected early on January 6, 2025. The Japanese Coast Guard and the Japanese Prime Minister's Office have also confirmed the launch of what is believed to be a ballistic missile.

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Which country will publicly condemn North Korea's missile test next in January 2025?

United States • 25%

Other • 25%

South Korea • 25%

Japan • 25%

Which country will next test a nuclear-capable SLBM after India by December 31, 2025?

Other • 25%

China • 25%

Russia • 25%

United States • 25%

North Korea conducts additional missile test by January 31, 2025?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

What will be North Korea's next major action following the January 2025 missile test by April 30, 2025?

No major action • 25%

Diplomatic engagement • 25%

Another missile test • 25%

Nuclear test • 25%

What type of missile will North Korea test next by April 30, 2025?

Hypersonic missile • 25%

Medium-range missile • 25%

Short-range missile • 25%

Long-range missile • 25%

What type of missile technology will North Korea test next by December 31, 2025?

Intermediate-range ballistic missile • 25%

Short-range ballistic missile • 25%

Intercontinental ballistic missile • 25%

Hypersonic missile • 25%

Will North Korea conduct another hypersonic missile test in 2025?

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Which country will issue the strongest response to North Korea's hypersonic missile test by March 31, 2025?

Japan • 25%

Other • 25%

United States • 25%

South Korea • 25%

Will North Korea conduct another missile test by March 31, 2025?

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Will North Korea conduct another missile test by April 30, 2025?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Which countries will conduct hypersonic missile tests in response to North Korea by June 30, 2025?

None of the above • 25%

China • 25%

Russia • 25%

United States • 25%

Will North Korea conduct a missile test by March 31, 2025?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

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Will Japan increase its defense budget in response to North Korea's missile test by April 30, 2025?

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Will North Korea conduct another ballistic missile test by March 31, 2025?

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

What will be the United States' response to North Korea's January 2025 missile test by March 31, 2025?

Increased sanctions • 25%

No significant response • 25%

Diplomatic talks • 25%

Military exercises • 25%

Which country will make the first diplomatic visit to North Korea after the January 2025 missile test?

China • 25%

Russia • 25%

South Korea • 25%

Other • 25%