Loading...
Market
Which country will be the first to publicly confirm casualties from the missile attacks by October 31, 2024?
2
Iran•Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps•IRGC•Israel•Hamas•Ismail Haniyeh•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Abbas Nilforoushan•Supreme National Security Council•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF
Resolution / Starting Odds
Iran • 25%
Israel • 25%
Both simultaneously • 25%
Neither • 25%
Official government statements or verified news reports
Story
Iran's IRGC Launches Dozens of Missiles at Israel in Retaliation for Assassinations
Oct 1, 2024, 05:09 PM
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has launched a significant missile attack on Israel in retaliation for the assassination of key figures including Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, and IRGC commander Abbas Nilforoushan. The IRGC stated that dozens of missiles targeted the heart of Israel and warned that any military response from Israel would be met with a 'crushing response.' The attack, decided by the Supreme National Security Council, marks a major escalation in the ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel, with the IRGC emphasizing its readiness to retaliate further if provoked. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) confirmed the missile strikes and indicated that Iran is expected to target military and government sites.
View original story
Similar markets
US only • 25%
US and EU countries • 25%
US, EU, and Middle Eastern countries • 25%
Multiple countries including Russia and China • 25%
0-10 • 25%
11-50 • 25%
51-100 • 25%
Over 100 • 25%
United States • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
France • 25%
Germany • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Iran • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
France • 25%
Germany • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Iran • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
UN sanctions on Iran • 25%
NATO military support to Israel • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
United States • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
France • 25%
Germany • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
France • 25%
Germany • 25%
Other • 25%