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Which country will be the first to have a real estate purchase near a U.S. military base blocked due to the new CFIUS rule by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Treasury Department or CFIUS
Story
U.S. Treasury Expands Security Reviews for Foreign Land Purchases Near 56 Military Bases
Jul 8, 2024, 05:25 PM
The U.S. Treasury Department announced a significant expansion of its security review authority over foreign real estate purchases near American military bases. This expansion, which is part of a proposed new rule by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), will add 56 military installations to the review list, including 40 within a one-mile radius. The move aims to counter suspected security threats from China and other countries.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
California • 25%
Texas • 25%
Florida • 25%
Other • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Middle Eastern countries • 25%
Other countries • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Other • 25%
0-10 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
31 or more • 25%
Proximity to military base • 25%
Potential espionage • 25%
National security threat • 25%
Other • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0-5 transactions • 25%
6-10 transactions • 25%
11-15 transactions • 25%
More than 15 transactions • 25%