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Which country is most likely to be targeted by Iran if it retaliates against US allies by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Saudi Arabia • 25%
UAE • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Jordan • 25%
Official statements from the Iranian government or credible international news agencies
Story
Iran Warns Oil-Rich U.S. Allies: Don’t Help Israel or Face Retaliation
Oct 11, 2024, 08:04 AM
Iran has issued a secret warning to U.S. allies in the Middle East, cautioning them against assisting Israel in any attacks on Iran. According to a report by the Wall Street Journal, Tehran has threatened to target oil-rich Arab Gulf states and other U.S. allies if their territories or airspace are used for such attacks. The threats have been communicated through diplomatic backchannels, prompting countries like Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE to inform the Biden administration of their unwillingness to support any offensive against Iran.
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Cyberattacks • 25%
Military action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military Installations • 25%
Civilian Areas • 25%
Government Buildings • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel • 25%
United States • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Other • 25%
Military installations • 25%
Civilian targets • 25%
Critical infrastructure • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
United States • 25%
No conflict • 25%
Military Strike • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
United States • 25%
Israel • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Other • 25%