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Which countries will be involved in the next military encounter in the Arctic region by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
US and Russia • 25%
US and China • 25%
Russia and NATO • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the involved countries' defense ministries or credible news sources
Story
Russian Fighter Jets Intercept US Bombers Over Barents Sea in Arctic
Jul 21, 2024, 08:13 AM
On Sunday, Russia's Defense Ministry announced that Russian MiG-29 and MiG-31 fighter jets intercepted two US B-52H strategic bombers over the Barents Sea in the Arctic. The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that the American bombers were prevented from violating the Russian state border. As the Russian fighters approached, the US bombers moved away from the state border.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russia and Germany • 25%
Russia and another NATO country • 25%
Russia and non-NATO country • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel, Iran, Saudi Arabia • 25%
Israel, Iran, Lebanon • 25%
Israel, Iran, Syria • 25%
Other combination • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Romania • 25%
Latvia • 25%
Poland • 25%
Other • 25%
Involving Russian aircraft • 25%
Involving Chinese aircraft • 25%
Involving both Russian and Chinese aircraft • 25%
No significant encounter • 25%
NATO involvement • 25%
EU involvement • 25%
UN involvement • 25%
No significant involvement • 25%
France • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Germany • 25%
Other • 25%
