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Market
Which company will first launch a commercial robotaxi service in the US by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Tesla • 25%
Waymo • 25%
Cruise • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from companies or credible news reports confirming the launch
Story
Tesla to Launch Robotaxi Service in 2025, Unlocking Multi-Trillion Dollar Market Opportunity
Oct 29, 2024, 02:20 PM
Tesla is set to launch a ride-hail service featuring robotaxis in 2025, according to ARK Invest. The service, currently being tested in California, is projected to unlock a multi-trillion dollar market opportunity. Elon Musk has confirmed this timeline and added that Tesla's Full Self-Driving technology will be integral to the service. Additionally, Palo Alto Council has discussed service plans, and Altimeter Capital sees Full Self-Driving hitting safer-than-human driving by Q2.
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Tesla • 25%
Waymo • 25%
Cruise • 25%
Other • 25%
Tesla • 25%
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Waymo • 25%
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Tesla • 25%
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Tesla • 25%
Waymo • 25%
General Motors • 25%
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Tesla • 25%
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Cruise • 25%
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Other • 25%