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Which charge will Daniel Penny be convicted of by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Manslaughter • 25%
Negligent Homicide • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
The verdict will be reported by major news outlets such as The New York Times, CNN, or the official court announcements.
Story
Closing Arguments Begin in Daniel Penny Trial Over May 2023 NYC Subway Chokehold Death
Dec 2, 2024, 03:54 PM
Closing arguments began on Monday in the trial of Daniel Penny, a Marine veteran charged with manslaughter and negligent homicide in the May 2023 death of Jordan Neely, a 30-year-old homeless man. The incident occurred on a New York City subway, where Penny allegedly restrained Neely in a chokehold following an outburst. Penny has pleaded not guilty, claiming his actions were intended to subdue Neely until police arrived, not to harm him. The case has drawn significant public attention, with protests and chants of 'Guilty!' greeting Penny outside the courthouse. The jury is expected to deliberate following the conclusion of arguments and instructions.
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Similar markets
Convicted of Manslaughter • 25%
Convicted of Criminally Negligent Homicide • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Guilty of Negligent Homicide • 25%
Guilty of Manslaughter • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
11-15 years • 25%
More than 15 years • 25%
6-10 years • 25%
0-5 years • 25%
Guilty of Manslaughter • 25%
Guilty of Criminally Negligent Homicide • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Convicted of criminally negligent homicide • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Convicted of manslaughter • 25%
Acquittal on all charges • 25%
Conviction on some charges • 25%
Conviction on all charges • 25%
Hung jury • 25%
No further legal action • 25%
Civil lawsuit by Penny • 25%
Civil lawsuit against Penny • 25%
Other legal actions • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Guilty of both charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of one charge • 25%
Mistrial Declared • 25%
Convicted of Manslaughter • 25%
Convicted of Criminally Negligent Homicide • 25%
Acquitted • 25%