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When will NASA schedule the ISS deorbit mission?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
2029 • 25%
2030 • 25%
2031 • 25%
2032 or later • 25%
Official NASA or SpaceX announcement
Story
NASA Selects SpaceX for $1 Billion ISS Deorbit Mission Post-2030
Jun 27, 2024, 10:54 AM
NASA has selected SpaceX to carry out the deorbiting and destruction of the International Space Station (ISS) after its retirement, which is scheduled for post-2030. SpaceX will build a specialized vehicle, often referred to as a 'tug vehicle,' to guide the ISS to its final resting place in the ocean. This contract is valued at close to $1 billion. The decision underscores SpaceX's growing influence and capability in the aerospace sector, further solidifying its position as a leading private space company. SpaceX's valuation has surged to $210 billion, reflecting its significant role in advancing space technology.
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Controlled Descent • 33%
Uncontrolled Descent • 33%
Breaking into Multiple Segments • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful Deployment • 25%
Delayed Deployment • 25%
Canceled • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Contract signing • 25%
Design completion • 25%
Prototype ready • 25%
Testing phase • 25%
Boeing • 25%
Lockheed Martin • 25%
Northrop Grumman • 25%
Blue Origin • 25%
Controlled descent • 33%
Breakup in orbit • 33%
Guided reentry • 34%
SpaceX Dragon used • 25%
Boeing Starliner used • 25%
Other spacecraft used • 25%
Astronauts remain on ISS • 25%