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When will Biden first cancel an event scheduled after 8 p.m.?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
July 2024 • 25%
August 2024 • 25%
September 2024 • 25%
October 2024 or later • 25%
Official White House schedule and news reports
Story
Biden Plans to Curtail Events After 8 p.m. to Get More Sleep: CNN, NYT
Jul 4, 2024, 06:31 PM
President Biden informed a gathering of Democratic governors that he needs to get more sleep and work fewer hours, including curtailing events after 8 p.m. According to two people who participated in the meeting and CNN reports, Biden emphasized that he plans to stop scheduling events after 8 p.m. to ensure he gets adequate rest. Despite these adjustments, Biden assured the governors that he remains committed to staying in the race, according to NYT.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No change • 25%
Reduced appearances • 25%
Increased virtual appearances • 25%
Complete halt of public appearances • 25%
Press Conference • 25%
Public Speech • 25%
Meeting with Foreign Dignitary • 25%
Other • 25%
By July 24, 2024 • 25%
By July 31, 2024 • 25%
By August 7, 2024 • 25%
After August 7, 2024 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Health issues • 25%
Political reasons • 25%
Scheduling conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Health Concerns • 25%
Scheduling Conflicts • 25%
Strategic Reasons • 25%
Other • 25%
Press conference • 25%
Public event • 25%
Televised address • 25%
Other • 25%
1-10 days • 25%
11-20 days • 25%
21-30 days • 25%
31 or more days • 25%