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What would be the outcome of a Canadian referendum on U.S. statehood by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority Yes • 25%
Majority No • 25%
Too close to call • 25%
Referendum not held • 25%
Results from a hypothetical national referendum
Story
Trump Proposes Canada as 51st State to Eliminate Trade Deficits and Enhance Security
Jan 6, 2025, 05:59 PM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has reignited discussions about Canada potentially becoming the 51st state of the United States. Trump has suggested that many people in Canada would favor this move, and he has criticized the current trade deficits and subsidies that he claims Canada relies on. He also proposed that merging with the U.S. would eliminate tariffs, lower taxes, and enhance security against threats from Russian and Chinese ships. Additionally, Trump referred to Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as 'Governor Justin Trudeau,' suggesting a shift in Canada's status. This comes in the wake of Trudeau's resignation, which Trump celebrated with another call for the merger.
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Majority Oppose • 25%
Evenly Split • 25%
No Clear Majority • 25%
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Majority support • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
No significant poll conducted • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No opinion • 25%
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Divided opinion • 25%
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No significant polling • 25%
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Proposal rejected • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Proposal indefinitely postponed • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
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No clear majority • 25%
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Formal proposal made • 25%
Informal talks initiated • 25%
