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What will the FBI conclude about the drones over Trump's residence by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
National security test • 25%
Foreign espionage • 25%
Private entity • 25%
Unknown • 25%
FBI reports or major news outlets
Story
FBI Probes Car-Sized Drones in V Formation Over Trump's New Jersey Residence
Dec 3, 2024, 04:45 PM
The FBI has launched an investigation into sightings of large, car-sized drones hovering over northern New Jersey, particularly in Morris and Somerset Counties, including the town of Bedminster where former President Donald Trump has a residence. Residents have reported these drones flying in a V formation with bright lights almost every night for the past few weeks, causing unease and speculation about their origins and purpose. Possible explanations range from national security testing to foreign espionage. The FBI is seeking public assistance to understand these mysterious aerial activities.
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Unknown or inconclusive • 25%
Corporate or research entity • 25%
Domestic hobbyist activity • 25%
Government or military operation • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Operator not identified • 25%
Operator identified • 25%
Identified as domestic • 25%
Remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as foreign • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Identified as domestic operators • 25%
Other • 25%
No conclusive identification • 25%
Identified as foreign operators • 25%
Remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as domestic entity • 25%
Identified as foreign entity • 25%
Identified as private individuals • 25%
Identified as foreign drones • 25%
Identified as hobbyist drones • 25%
Unidentified by deadline • 25%
Identified as commercial drones • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Foreign source identified • 25%
Domestic source identified • 25%
Source remains unidentified • 25%
No conclusive identification • 25%
Other • 25%
Identified foreign entity • 25%
Identified domestic entity • 25%
National security threat confirmed • 25%
Other • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Operator identified • 25%
