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What will Telegram's user count in the EU be as verified by the investigation by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Below 41 million • 25%
41-45 million • 25%
45-50 million • 25%
Above 50 million • 25%
Official announcement from the European Commission or reliable news sources such as Financial Times
Story
EU Probes Telegram for Underreporting 41M Users Under Digital Services Act
Aug 29, 2024, 06:36 AM
The European Commission has launched a technical investigation into Telegram over allegations of underreporting user numbers to avoid compliance with the Digital Services Act (DSA). The Financial Times reports that the probe focuses on whether Telegram inaccurately reported having 41 million users in the EU, just below the 45 million threshold that triggers additional regulatory requirements. If found in breach, Telegram could face significant penalties and increased oversight as a 'very large online platform.' The investigation adds pressure on Telegram amid broader scrutiny of digital platforms' adherence to EU regulations. Additionally, French authorities are investigating alleged criminality, while Telegram's founder, Pavel Durov, has stated he is 'hiding nothing.'
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No action taken • 25%
Warning issued • 25%
Fine imposed • 25%
Service restrictions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase by more than 10% • 25%
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Decrease by less than 10% • 25%
Decrease by more than 10% • 25%
Increase by over 10% • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Admit and comply • 25%
Deny and appeal • 25%
Negotiate settlement • 25%
No official response • 25%
1 billion • 25%
1.1 billion • 25%
1.2 billion • 25%
Less than 1 billion • 25%
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Moderate increase • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase by more than 10% • 25%
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Decrease by more than 10% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Data not available • 25%
Increase in users • 25%
Decrease in users • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase by more than 10% • 25%
Increase by less than 10% • 25%
Remain the same • 25%
Decrease • 25%