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What will be Ukraine's security strategy outcome by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
NATO Membership • 25%
Nuclear Weapons Program • 25%
Neither • 25%
Other Security Alliances • 25%
Official announcements from NATO, Ukrainian government, or credible international reports
Story
At Brussels Summit, Zelensky Says He Told Trump Ukraine Needs NATO or Nuclear Weapons
Oct 17, 2024, 01:44 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, speaking at the European Council summit in Brussels on October 17, revealed that during a meeting with former U.S. President Donald Trump in September, he conveyed that Ukraine faces two options for its security: acquiring nuclear weapons or joining NATO. Zelensky emphasized that Ukraine prefers NATO membership over nuclear armament and noted that Trump agreed with his arguments. He highlighted that NATO countries are not at war and that their populations are safe, contrasting this with Ukraine's situation. He reminded that Ukraine relinquished nuclear weapons in the past and that no nuclear-armed nation, except Ukraine, has suffered from war. Zelensky stated that Ukraine has 'all the necessary materials' to defend itself.
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NATO Membership • 25%
Nuclear Weapons Return • 25%
Enhanced Security Guarantees • 25%
No Change • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ukraine acquires nuclear weapons • 25%
Ukraine remains non-nuclear and outside NATO • 25%
Other significant defense strategy • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Stalemate with current borders • 25%
Loss of territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Nuclear Weapons Acquired • 25%
NATO Membership Granted • 25%
New Security Pact • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
Intelligence sharing • 25%
None of the above • 25%
Conventional weaponry • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
Nonnuclear deterrence • 25%
Defense of current territories • 25%
Offensive operations to regain lost territories • 25%
Strengthening alliances and seeking international aid • 25%
Diplomatic efforts for ceasefire • 25%
Ukraine gains ground • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Russia gains ground • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military focus • 25%
Increased diplomatic focus • 25%
Balanced approach • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
Failure to implement • 25%
Extension of agreement • 25%
Increase conscription • 25%
Seek more international aid • 25%
Initiate peace talks • 25%
Other strategic changes • 25%