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What will be the winning margin in the 2024 London mayoral election?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
0-5% • 25%
6-10% • 25%
11-15% • 25%
16%+ • 25%
Final election results
Story
London Mayoral Election Results Today: Khan vs Hall in Close Race, 40.5% Turnout
May 4, 2024, 12:48 AM
The London mayoral election is reaching its climax with incumbent Sadiq Khan and challenger Susan Hall in a tightly contested race. As the final hours of voting approach, both Labour and Tory sources suggest the outcome could be very close, contrasting sharply with earlier predictions favoring Khan by a 22-point lead. Concerns about a historically low voter turnout, potentially below the 2000 record of 34.4%, have added to the uncertainty. The final turnout was reported at 40.5%, with significant variations between inner and outer London boroughs. Tory sources express confidence in Hall's victory, while Labour insiders remain apprehensive but hopeful. The results are expected to be announced today.
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Similar markets
40-45% • 25%
46-50% • 25%
51-55% • 25%
56% or more • 25%
Labour majority • 33%
Conservative majority • 33%
No overall majority • 33%
Labour • 50%
Conservative • 50%
40-45% • 25%
45-50% • 25%
50-55% • 25%
Above 55% • 25%
Susan Hall • 33%
Other Conservative candidate • 33%
Independent/Other party candidate • 34%
Conservative Party majority • 25%
Labour Party majority • 25%
Hung Parliament • 25%
Other • 25%
