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Market
What will be the voter confidence in the economy between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump by October 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Harris leads by 5 points or more • 25%
Harris leads by 1-4 points • 25%
Trump leads by 1-4 points • 25%
Trump leads by 5 points or more • 25%
Polling data from Bloomberg News/Morning Consult
Story
Kamala Harris Holds 50-47 Lead Over Trump in Key Swing States, Gains on Economy
Sep 26, 2024, 11:25 PM
Recent polling data from Bloomberg News/Morning Consult indicates that Vice President Kamala Harris holds a thin lead over former President Donald Trump across key swing states in the 2024 US Presidential Election. Harris is currently up 50-47 across seven swing states, leading in six and tied in the seventh. The poll also shows Harris gaining ground on voter confidence in the economy, eroding Trump's traditional advantage in this area. A GOP pollster noted that Trump's lead has diminished significantly, with Harris now leading by 1 point in September, compared to Trump's 11-point lead in June. The New York Times reports that Harris’s campaign believes she can win on the economy.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Harris leads by more than 5 points • 25%
Harris leads by 5 points or less • 25%
Trump leads by 5 points or less • 25%
Trump leads by more than 5 points • 25%
Kamala Harris leads by 5 points or more • 25%
Kamala Harris leads by less than 5 points • 25%
Donald Trump leads by less than 5 points • 25%
Donald Trump leads by 5 points or more • 25%
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Harris leads by 5% or more • 25%
Harris leads by less than 5% • 25%
Trump leads by less than 5% • 25%
Trump leads by 5% or more • 25%
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