Loading...
Market
What will be the U.S. recognition status of a future Syrian government by December 31, 2025?
2
Antony Blinken•United States•Syrian Islamist•HTS•Blinken•American•Austin Tice•Syria•Syrian•Middle East•Assad
Resolution / Starting Odds
Recognizes new government • 25%
Maintains current stance • 25%
Partial recognition • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official U.S. government recognition announcements or credible news sources
Story
U.S. Confirms Direct Contact with Syrian Rebel Group HTS, Discusses Austin Tice Case and Assad's Ouster
Dec 14, 2024, 03:57 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken confirmed that the United States has been in direct contact with the Syrian Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), which played a significant role in the ousting of former President Bashar al-Assad. This marks the first time the U.S. has acknowledged such direct communication with HTS, which has been designated a terrorist organization since 2018 due to its links with Al-Qaeda. Blinken stated that the discussions primarily focused on efforts to locate American journalist Austin Tice, who has been missing in Syria, and emphasized U.S. principles regarding the recognition of a future Syrian government. The U.S. is also considering potential sanctions against HTS based on its actions. Blinken made these remarks while concluding a Middle East trip aimed at addressing the aftermath of Assad's regime.
View original story
Similar markets
Recognize Syrian government including HTS • 25%
Recognize Syrian government excluding HTS • 25%
No recognition • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Recognized by both • 25%
Recognized by US only • 25%
Recognized by UK only • 25%
Not recognized by either • 25%
Prevention of terrorism • 25%
No threats to neighbors • 25%
Disposal of biological weapons • 25%
Other • 25%
Recognized by US and EU • 25%
Recognized by US only • 25%
Recognized by EU only • 25%
Not recognized by either • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
