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What will be the U.S. diplomatic strategy change towards Syria for Austin Tice by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased diplomatic pressure • 25%
Military action considered • 25%
Humanitarian negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official U.S. government statements or credible international news reports
Story
Biden Believes Kidnapped Journalist Austin Tice, Held by Syrian Govt, Is Alive
Dec 8, 2024, 06:51 PM
President Joe Biden has stated that the U.S. government believes Austin Tice, an American journalist kidnapped in Syria in 2012, remains alive. Tice, a former Marine, has been held in Syrian government captivity for over a decade. The U.S. is actively working to locate and secure his release, though they lack direct evidence of his current whereabouts. Tice's family has met with Biden administration officials to press for more action to bring him home. The U.S. has been in contact with Syrian rebel forces as they advance towards Damascus, indicating a heightened effort to resolve Tice's case amid the ongoing Syrian conflict.
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Acknowledged involvement • 25%
Denied involvement • 25%
No statement made • 25%
Other • 25%
Military action • 25%
No action • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Confirmed alive but not released • 25%
Confirmed deceased • 25%
Released • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Sanctions or other economic measures • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Reduced engagement • 25%
Increased engagement • 25%
Complete disengagement • 25%
Maintained current strategy • 25%
No new information • 25%
Information obtained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations initiated • 25%
No confirmation • 25%
Confirmed deceased • 25%
Confirmed alive and returned • 25%
Confirmed alive but not returned • 25%
Tice located but not released • 25%
No progress reported • 25%
Negotiations end without resolution • 25%
Tice located and released • 25%
Austin Tice is confirmed deceased • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Austin Tice is released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Austin Tice located • 25%
No progress reported • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations break down • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Austin Tice is released • 25%