Loading...
Market
What will be the trend in public opinion on criminal justice policies in California by mid-2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support for tough-on-crime policies • 25%
Increased support for progressive reform policies • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Public opinion polls conducted by reputable polling organizations
Story
California Voters Pass Proposition 36 with Over 70% Support to Toughen Criminal Sentencing Laws
Nov 11, 2024, 08:45 PM
Proposition 36 passed with over 70% of the vote in California, reflecting widespread public dissatisfaction with lenient criminal-sentencing laws. The measure, which received significant support even in liberal San Francisco, aims to toughen the state's criminal justice policies. The 2024 election cycle highlighted a broader shift in voter sentiment against progressive crime policies, which many believe have led to public safety issues. Left-wing prosecutors faced significant electoral losses as voters expressed their frustration with rising crime rates. Critics also pointed to the roles of Governor Gavin Newsom and former Governor Jerry Brown in disenfranchising voters.
View original story
Similar markets
More support for tougher laws • 25%
More support for lenient reforms • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in approval • 25%
Decrease in approval • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stricter policies enacted • 25%
Policies remain the same • 25%
More lenient policies • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
No change in support • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Majority support decision • 25%
Majority oppose decision • 25%
Evenly split opinion • 25%
No major poll conducted • 25%
More supportive • 25%
Less supportive • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Increase in Crime Rates • 25%
Decrease in Crime Rates • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Data Unavailable • 25%
Majority Support • 25%
Majority Oppose • 25%
Evenly Split • 25%
Undecided Majority • 25%
Decrease in crime rate • 25%
Increase in crime rate • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
More supportive • 25%
Less supportive • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Majority Support • 25%
Majority Oppose • 25%
Evenly Split • 25%
Insufficient Data • 25%