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What will be the status of Ukraine's territorial integrity by December 31, 2025?
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Donald Trump•Ukraine•Russia•Trump•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelenskyy•NATO•Western•World War III•Zelenskyy•Sky News
Resolution / Starting Odds
Territory ceded to Russia • 25%
No territory ceded • 25%
Territory ceded to other entity • 25%
Territory disputed • 25%
Official Ukrainian government statements or credible international news agencies
Story
Trump Proposes Halting Weapons to Ukraine, Seeks NATO Membership and Ceasefire to End Conflict
Nov 29, 2024, 07:34 PM
President-elect Donald Trump's team is reportedly proposing to halt U.S. weapons deliveries to Ukraine if the country refuses to enter peace talks with Russia. This move comes as part of Trump's broader strategy to end the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has indicated a willingness to end the war, potentially by ceding territory and seeking NATO membership as part of a peace deal. Meanwhile, Trump is close to announcing a plan that would involve a permanent ceasefire and the stationing of Western troops in a demilitarized Ukraine. This proposal aims to deescalate the risk of nuclear World War III, as tensions rise with Russia over NATO's involvement and the possibility of Ukraine receiving nuclear weapons. Zelenskyy's comments were made during an exclusive interview with Sky News, where he discussed the prospect of NATO membership and a ceasefire.
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Russia retains current territories • 25%
Ukraine regains some territories • 25%
Territorial changes agreed upon • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Ukraine regains all territories • 25%
Ukraine regains some territories • 25%
No change in territorial control • 25%
Russia gains more territories • 25%
Ukraine gains territory • 25%
Russia gains territory • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Territory changes hands multiple times • 25%
Returned to Ukraine • 25%
Remain under Russian control • 25%
Under international administration • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Pre-war borders recognized • 25%
Current borders recognized • 25%
Partial recognition • 25%
No change in recognition • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire with conditions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Ukraine regains lost territories • 25%
Russia retains control of territories • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire in place • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Territories ceded to Russia • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Territories returned to Ukraine • 25%
New territorial agreements • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ukraine remains neutral • 25%
Ukraine aligns with Russia • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Escalation • 25%