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What will be the status of Nicolas Maduro by December 31, 2024?
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Spain•Edmundo González Urrutia•Venezuela•Congress•Spanish Senate•European Parliament•Venezuelan•Nicolas Maduro•González•Maduro
Resolution / Starting Odds
Arrested • 25%
Exiled • 25%
Still in Venezuela • 25%
Other • 25%
Publicly available news sources and official statements from law enforcement agencies
Story
Spain and EU Recognize Exiled Edmundo González Urrutia as Venezuela's Legitimate President
Sep 19, 2024, 11:52 AM
Spain has formally recognized Edmundo González Urrutia as the elected and legitimate president of Venezuela, aligning with the country's Congress. The Spanish Senate's decision on September 18 received a standing ovation from a large majority of senators. Additionally, the European Parliament has called for an international arrest warrant for Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and has also recognized the exiled González as the legitimate president. Spain has denied involvement in negotiations between González and Maduro.
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In Venezuela • 25%
In exile • 25%
Under arrest • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains in power • 25%
Relinquishes power peacefully • 25%
Arrested or detained • 25%
Exiled • 25%
Maduro remains President • 25%
Maduro steps down or is removed • 25%
Interim government is formed • 25%
New elections are held and a new president is elected • 25%
Remains in power • 25%
Steps down voluntarily • 25%
Removed by force • 25%
Flees the country • 25%
Remains President • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Removed from Office • 25%
Other • 25%
Regime collapse • 25%
Transition to another leader • 25%
Continues under Maduro • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
