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What will be the state of Israeli-Yemeni relations by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli or Yemeni governments or credible news sources
Story
Yevgeny Ferder, Former Israeli Sniper, Killed in Thursday Night's Yemeni Drone Strike on Tel Aviv
Jul 19, 2024, 07:37 PM
Yevgeny Ferder, a 50-year-old former sniper in the Israeli military reserve forces, was killed in an unprecedented drone strike on Tel Aviv carried out by the Yemeni Armed Forces on Thursday night. Israeli media reports indicate that Ferder, who also went by the name Yevgeni Perder, was an elite sniper and had served in the Israeli occupation army. The incident has led to widespread mourning, with Nissim Vaturi of Likud noting that members of Ferder's family who participated in anti-government rallies are now heartbroken.
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US involvement increases • 25%
Arab countries join efforts • 25%
European countries join efforts • 25%
No significant international support • 25%
Increased Airstrikes by Israel • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Ground Invasion by Israel • 25%
Stalemate/No Significant Change • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Peaceful relations • 25%
Tense but stable relations • 25%
Escalating tensions • 25%
Renewed conflict • 25%
Strengthened relationship • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strained relationship • 25%
Severe diplomatic fallout • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions on Yemen • 25%
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic relations improve • 25%
Diplomatic relations worsen • 25%
Diplomatic relations unchanged • 25%
Diplomatic ties severed • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Diplomatic relations severed • 25%
Escalated conflict • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%