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What will be the size of Russia's armed forces by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 800,000 • 25%
800,000 to 900,000 • 25%
900,001 to 1,000,000 • 25%
More than 1,000,000 • 25%
Official announcements from the Russian Ministry of Defense or credible international defense reports
Story
Russia Expands Armed Forces, Aims for Pre-2022 Levels with 1 Million Soldiers
Sep 17, 2024, 03:01 AM
Russia is increasing the size of its armed forces in response to perceived threats and a hostile situation on its western borders. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov cited the number of 'existing' threats as the reason for this expansion. The move is part of a longer-term objective to bolster Russia's military capacity, which has been impacted by ongoing war dynamics and economic constraints. Experts suggest that Russia may need another mobilization to prepare for future offensives, with some estimating that 1 million soldiers could give Russia a significant advantage along the front lines in 2025. Additionally, there are discussions about building real Territorial defense forces in Bryansk. The effort also aims to restore the military to its pre-2022 levels.
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Similar markets
Less than 5,000 • 25%
5,000 to 10,000 • 25%
10,001 to 15,000 • 25%
More than 15,000 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase in voluntary enlistment • 25%
Increase in conscription • 25%
Stable recruitment numbers • 25%
Decrease in recruitment • 25%
0 to 25,000 • 25%
25,001 to 50,000 • 25%
50,001 to 75,000 • 25%
75,001 or more • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 120,000 • 25%
120,001 to 133,000 • 25%
More than 133,000 • 25%