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What will be the role of the US in the Gaza ceasefire talks by September 17, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Mediation leads to ceasefire • 25%
Mediation leads to hostage release • 25%
Mediation leads to both ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
Mediation does not lead to any agreement • 25%
Official announcements from the US State Department or credible news sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera.
Story
US Sets Two-Week Deadline for Gaza Ceasefire and Hostage Deal Talks
Sep 3, 2024, 05:29 PM
The United States has set a two-week deadline for Gaza ceasefire talks, according to a Turkish official. Last week's discussions made progress on both a ceasefire and a hostage release deal, with both sides needing to show flexibility. The US State Department described the talks as constructive. US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin and Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant have been discussing efforts to recover hostages in Gaza. The US State Department emphasized that over the coming days, they will continue to engage with regional partners to finalize the ceasefire and hostage deal. A Turkish foreign ministry spokesperson accused the US of misleading the public by claiming that Gaza ceasefire negotiations have been progressing positively.
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Mediator role • 25%
Observer role • 25%
Active participant • 25%
No involvement • 25%
United Nations • 25%
United States • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Qatar • 25%
U.S. acts as a mediator • 25%
U.S. provides security guarantees • 25%
U.S. provides financial aid • 25%
No significant U.S. role • 25%
Mediated a full agreement • 25%
Mediated a partial agreement • 25%
Provided support only • 25%
No significant involvement • 25%
Active involvement • 33%
Limited involvement • 33%
No involvement • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Egypt brokers a successful ceasefire • 25%
Egypt fails to broker a ceasefire • 25%
Egypt withdraws from negotiations • 25%
Egypt's role remains neutral • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Qatar • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Mediators achieve ceasefire • 25%
Mediators fail to achieve ceasefire • 25%
Mediators withdraw • 25%
Mediators continue efforts • 25%
Successful ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
Ceasefire without hostage release • 25%
Hostage release without ceasefire • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%